Thursday, May 03, 2007

What do you think...

When former Congressman Rob Simmons said he was abandoning any bid to reclaim his House seat in Connecticut's 2nd District earlier this year, one of the reasons he cited is that he doesn't expect the "mood" of voters to be any different in 2008 than it was in 2006.

There was an interesting piece in USA Today by Susan Page where she listed the five reasons why Republicans will have a very difficult time in holding on to the White House in 2008. I think these same five reasons can applied to congressional races next year as well.

Here's what Page said about the presidential campaign and the problems the GOP face:

1. It's mostly about Iraq: "It has cost the GOP support among political independents, who by nearly 2-1 call the invasion a mistake. And it's united and energized Democrats, who oppose the war by more than 4-1."

2. Excitement is contagious: "Democrats are more excited about next year's election than Republicans are: 59% of Democratic-leaning voters call themselves extremely or very enthusiastic about the election, compared with 50% of Republicans."

3. Fewer say they're with GOP: "The Republican Party now has a net negative rating of 9 percentage points: 42% viewed it favorably, 51% unfavorably. The Democratic Party has a net positive rating of 13 points, 55%-38%."

4. Money flowing to Democrats: "During the first three months of the year, Republican presidential candidates took in $53.4 million in contributions. That would have been a record for this stage of a campaign except that Democratic candidates took in $78.4 million -- nearly 50% more."

5. Hunger for change growing: "The appetite for change may be the strongest tide running against the GOP... By 2-1, those surveyed by Gallup say they are dissatisfied with the way things are going in the USA. That's the sourest climate in a presidential election year since 1992, when the elder Bush lost his bid for a second term."

What do you think?


Blogger Ms. B said...

I find it curious that the polls still suggest a couple of the leading Republicans would win over a couple of the leading Democrats if the vote were done today. It's still way too early to be making predictions about it.

8:51 AM  
Blogger mccommas said...

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7:30 AM  
Blogger mccommas said...

This comment has been removed by the author.

7:41 AM  
Blogger mccommas said...

There you go again…

Problems, problems. Nothing but problems for the por por Republican Party.

Why is it that you never anguish about the Democrat’s problems? They must not have any – right?

Could it be that your pretence at sympathy for the GOP is merely window dressing? Perhaps it’s you who is trying to set the “mood”?

Who is Susan Page anyway? Was she in the The Partridge Family? Oh wait. I’m thinking of Susan Dey …

So who is this chick again?

I recall with such crystal clarity all throughout the era of the Republican controlled Congress how poor Newt had such a small miniscule itty-bitty microbe of a majority. I mean it was soooooo small you could fit it through the eye of a needle. That’s how small it was!

We heard this same counterfeit concern about their chances for getting legislation passed and –gasp! – losing their majority. “Wouldn’t that be awful?” we heard from a million media liberals both in the news and the opinion pages.

It was predicted every two years that the Republicans would lose their majority –--- for 12 years.

But now that Democrats have their smallest House majority since 1955 you will never read that factoid in your hometown paper.

Janet Pelosi is in charge and governing like she had all the seats in the House under her thumb. Pelosi will be House Speaker for next thousand years.

Elections are nothing to worry about.

As George Will points out, Republicans have more House seats now than we did at the height of the Reagan era. You won’t hear that either.

In 2008 Republicans only have to snap up 16 seats to make Pelosi Minority Leader again.

Why don’t you write about that possibility?

Oh yeah -- "Mood".


6:18 AM  

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