Tuesday, December 26, 2006

Another look at the 2008 build up...

Although few are willing to give U.S. Sen. Christopher J. Dodd's would-be presidential hopes much credibility, there's enough wiggle room in the build up to the 2008 campaign that it's hard to rule anyone out at this point. The preceived notion is that New York Sen. Hiliary Clinton has pretty much a lock on the Democratic nomination and no one appears strong enough at this point to snatch that away from her - with the exception, maybe, of Ill. Sen. Barack Obama.

Obama is vacationing this week in Hawaii with his family, and is expected to make his intentions known early next month. This little tidbit might help...

An Iows television station, KCCI-TV/Research 2000 poll of Democratic voters in Iowa shows Obama and former US Sen. John Edwards tied for the lead, each garnering 22 percent. Iowa's Gov. Tom Vilsack is running third with 12 percent, and Clinton is fourth with 10 percent. (Al Gore, 7 percent, John Kerry, 5 percent, and former Gen. Wes Clark and Ohio Congressman Dennis Kucinich get 4 percent. Everyone else is at 1 percent or less).

And to make things a bit more interesting, there are suggestions that former VA Gov. Mark Warner (a graduate of Rockville High School here in Connecticut) may be reconsidering his decision to drop out of the race last October - and is waiting to see what Obama does before deciding anything.

On the Republican side of the equation, that same poll shows Iowa's GOP voters preferring Sen. John McCain and former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani as their top choices, 27 and 26 percent respectively. Mass. Gov. Mitt Rommey is a distant third at 9 percent and former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich at 7 percent. The only other GOP potential getting support was Secretary of State Condi Rice at 4 percent. (The other GOP hopefuls pulled in 1 percent or less).

This would suggest to me that both the Democratic and Republican nominations are still pretty much up for grabs - and no one seems out of the running at this point.

What do you think?


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